Betting Odds and Trends

Alabama -21.5 O/U 65.5
  • As a road favorite Alabama is 12-9 against the spread since 2015
  • As a home underdog Tennessee is 4-8 against the spread since 2015
  • In 2020, Alabama is 0-2 against the spread on the road
  • In 2020, Tennessee is 1-1 against the spread at home
  • All of Alabama’s games have over this season (totals were 57, 74, 51.5, and 55.5)
  • Over has been hit in 7 of Alabama’s last 9 games

Third Saturday in October rivalry 

  • Alabama leads overall series 56-38-7 and have won 13 straight over the Volunteers
  • Bama has won the last 4 games by a combined score of 187-51
  • Tennessee has not beaten Alabama by more than one possession since October 20, 2001
  • Tennessee is the only school to ever record 7 straight victories over Alabama (from 1995-2001)

Alabama’s offense has been in a category of their own in 2020

  • 2nd in NCAA in PPG (48.5)
  • Most yards per play in the NCAA (8.1)
  • Best 3rd down conversion rate in NCAA (61.9%)
  • Mac Jones has best passer efficiency rating in NCAA (220.1)
  • Najee Harris leads NCAA in rushing TD’s (11)

  • Jaylen Waddle and Devonta Smith rank in the top 10 for both receiving yards and yards per reception

Can Tennessee stabilize the QB position?

  • Jarrett Guarantano’s 2020 season: Completes 63.1 percent of his passes, 752 yards, 4 TD’s 3 INT’s 

  • Jarrett Guarantano’s numbers vs Alabama (3 games): 21/42162 yards, 0 TD’s, 1 INT
  • Will Harrison Bailey get his shot? 
  • Bailey is a former 4 star recruit who had the 4th most passing yards in Georgia high school history ranking behind Trevor Lawrence, Deshaun Watson, and Jake Fromm

Additional news and notes

Alabama

  • Alabama has had 40+ points and 500+ yards of total offense in past 3 games
  • They have had 1 turnover in every game thus far
  • 6 players on defense have at least 2+ passes defended

Tennessee

  • Eric Gray leads the Volunteers offensive attack with 73 touches for 416 yards and 3 total TD’s
  • Deandre Johnson has 3.5 sacks in 2020 which ranks him 2nd in the SEC
  • The Volunteers have forced a fumble in 3 of 4 games this season
  • Their defense has allowed 100 rushing yards in 3 of 4 games and at least 1 rushing TD in every game

Will Tennessee give Alabama a tough game? Let me know on Twitter: @James_Costanz